Abstract: |
In recent years forceful natural hazards and disasters have posed a severe threat to humans [1, 2]. First
responders, like rescue services, play a crucial role in reducing any threats and need real-time information
about the location and possible extent of the hazard to mitigate and cope with potentially hazardous
effects [3]. The mapping of approximate extents of wildfires can be achieved with remote sensing (RS) data
with sufficient accuracies [4], but rarely in (near) real-time for non-commercial satellites due to the satellites’
overpass time. As alternative data, volunteered geographic information (VGI) data, such as Twitter data,
can be used to identify potential hazard areas or affected areas in almost near-real time [5, 6]. In our study,
we aim to investigate and evaluate the possibilities and limitations of tweets for the spatial analysis of fire
hazards in the absence of RS data.
As a case study, we focus on the Bobcat fire in the Los Angeles National Forest in California, Unites
States (U.S.), in 2020. We extract tweets with relevant keywords and their geographic location for the time of
the fire from 06/09/2020 to 10/09/2020. Besides, as reference data, we rely on the given fire area generated
with Sentinel-2 RS data (acc. to [4]) on 10th September 2020. When focusing on the methodological part,
we consider different approaches. For the geographic cluster point of all the tweets, we first calculate the
weighted median location of the tweet points, taking into account influencing factors like population density.
Next, we estimate approximate hazard locations or affected areas with several approaches according to the
availability of the respective data in the tweet texts: viewing angle to fire (from location point to mentioned
target point), distance to fire, and road segment blocking information. Finally, the
approaches’ results are combined, and the possibly affected minimal and maximal hazard areas of the fire
are estimated with a confidence interval.
The findings from the Bobcat fire study indicate that the calculation of the weighted median center
from tweets aligns well with the fire area, as determined from RS imagery. Our approach also demonstrates
that the estimated minimal and maximal affected area corresponds closely to the area detected from RS.
However, it should be noted that the estimation of the affected area from VGI may yield slightly different
results, with the center of the estimated area located in an area where the population is more affected by
the wildfire.
Using geospatial analysis approaches on VGI obtained from sources such as Twitter can assist in identifying
the region impacted by natural disasters, such as wildfires. This usage is particularly beneficial when RS
data are unavailable or inadequate for determining the extent of potential impacts on populations. Despite
limitations in precision when compared to other forms of data, VGI can provide approximate and timely
estimates of affected areas, enabling emergency responders to plan their operations, allocate resources, and
prioritize areas of concern.
[1] Karnjana Songwathana. 2018
[2] Ben Wisner et al. 2014
[3] Haiyan Hao et al. 2020
[4] Janine Florath et al. 2022
[5] André Dittrich et al. 2014
[6] Yandong Wang et al. 2015. |